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Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation

icon for World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation
Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation

Canada 100.0%

Mexico <1%

USA <1%

Polymarket

$9,893 Vol.

Canada 100.0%

Mexico <1%

USA <1%

Polymarket

$9,893 Vol.

Canada

$5,486 Vol.

Yes

Mexico

$2,210 Vol.

No

USA

$2,197 Vol.

No

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup with the lowest Elo rating (1741, 24th globally) among the three co-hosts and faces a tougher group featuring Switzerland as the top seed, limiting its realistic advancement depth compared to Mexico (Elo 1800, Group A favorites) and the United States (Elo 1765, strong Group D position). Trader consensus reflects these squad disparities and historical host performance patterns, with Canada priced at 66.5% to finish as the lowest-placed host. Mexico and the U.S. benefit from deeper talent pools and more favorable brackets, while recent pre-tournament rankings and power ratings have reinforced Canada's relative standing without major roster disruptions altering the outlook.

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,893
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup with the lowest Elo rating (1741, 24th globally) among the three co-hosts and faces a tougher group featuring Switzerland as the top seed, limiting its realistic advancement depth compared to Mexico (Elo 1800, Group A favorites) and the United States (Elo 1765, strong Group D position). Trader consensus reflects these squad disparities and historical host performance patterns, with Canada priced at 66.5% to finish as the lowest-placed host. Mexico and the U.S. benefit from deeper talent pools and more favorable brackets, while recent pre-tournament rankings and power ratings have reinforced Canada's relative standing without major roster disruptions altering the outlook.

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,893
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Canada" at 100%, followed by "Mexico" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation" is "Canada" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mexico" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.