Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEn hausse
98% chance
$2,931 Vol.
$2,931 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
En hausse
98% chance
$2,931 Vol.
$2,931 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,931Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070be91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070be91...Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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