Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier seeks reelection in a district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index, where he secured 66.5 percent of the vote in the prior general election. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic and Republican challengers, yet the nonpartisan top-two format and district demographics point to a Democratic nominee advancing to the November general. Trader consensus reflects the seat's historical margins and absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment over recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle developments altering turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this East Bay constituency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-10
$16,873 Vol.
$16,873 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$16,873 Vol.
$16,873 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$11,249 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$5,624 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier seeks reelection in a district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index, where he secured 66.5 percent of the vote in the prior general election. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic and Republican challengers, yet the nonpartisan top-two format and district demographics point to a Democratic nominee advancing to the November general. Trader consensus reflects the seat's historical margins and absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment over recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle developments altering turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this East Bay constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,873Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier seeks reelection in a district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index, where he secured 66.5 percent of the vote in the prior general election. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic and Republican challengers, yet the nonpartisan top-two format and district demographics point to a Democratic nominee advancing to the November general. Trader consensus reflects the seat's historical margins and absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment over recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle developments altering turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this East Bay constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,873Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier seeks reelection in a district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index, where he secured 66.5 percent of the vote in the prior general election. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic and Republican challengers, yet the nonpartisan top-two format and district demographics point to a Democratic nominee advancing to the November general. Trader consensus reflects the seat's historical margins and absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment over recent months. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle developments altering turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this East Bay constituency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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