Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-10
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$11,750 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$6,705 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$18,454Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,454Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 primary in California's 10th Congressional District, securing roughly 57 percent of the early vote against Republican challengers. The seat's D+18 partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, has produced consistent Democratic margins in presidential voting and established the district as one of the state's more reliably blue territories. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic victory reflects this entrenched structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable developments that would alter the outlook. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment between now and November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes