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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central

Daniel Ennis 100.0%

Malachy Steenson <1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%

Gillian Sherratt <1%

Polymarket

$4,682,120 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 100.0%

Malachy Steenson <1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin <1%

Gillian Sherratt <1%

Polymarket

$4,682,120 Vol.

Malachy Steenson

$47,618 Vol.

Non

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,276,548 Vol.

Non

Gillian Sherratt

$538,659 Vol.

Non

Ray McAdam

$75,537 Vol.

Non

Ian Noel Smyth

$59,318 Vol.

Non

Séamas McGrattan

$1,193,064 Vol.

Non

Mary Fitzpatrick

$308,277 Vol.

Non

Janet Horner

$40,751 Vol.

Non

Janice Boylan

$96,542 Vol.

Non

Daniel Ennis

$96,553 Vol.

Oui

Gerry Hutch

$619,028 Vol.

Non

John Stephens

$330,226 Vol.

Non

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis secured a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election after topping first preferences on 22 May and demonstrating strong transfer support across subsequent counts, culminating in election on the ninth count with over 12,000 votes. The Social Democrats candidate benefited from his local council profile, favorable positioning relative to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan in second place, and limited momentum for independents including Gerry Hutch. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified count outcomes and the ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidated support behind Ennis. Official declaration by the returning officer remains the final step, though late procedural challenges or recount requests would represent the only narrow paths to any shift.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$4,682,120
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis secured a commanding position in the Dublin Central by-election after topping first preferences on 22 May and demonstrating strong transfer support across subsequent counts, culminating in election on the ninth count with over 12,000 votes. The Social Democrats candidate benefited from his local council profile, favorable positioning relative to Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan in second place, and limited momentum for independents including Gerry Hutch. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified count outcomes and the ranked-choice voting dynamics that consolidated support behind Ennis. Official declaration by the returning officer remains the final step, though late procedural challenges or recount requests would represent the only narrow paths to any shift.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$4,682,120
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Daniel Ennis » à 100%, suivi de « Malachy Steenson » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central » a généré $4.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central » est « Daniel Ennis » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Malachy Steenson » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle Dublin-Central » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.