Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver leads trader consensus at 40% amid a crowded field, reflecting polling that places him at or near the top among decided voters despite underwater approval ratings. His support consolidates among homeowners on public safety and tax issues, while progressive challengers fragment the remaining vote. Pete Fry of the Green Party sits second at 29.9%, buoyed by stronger favorability and name recognition as a sitting councillor, though unity talks with OneCity, COPE, and other parties remain stalled ahead of the September 11 nomination deadline. Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals follows at 14.5%, drawing from his prior role in Sim’s 2022 campaign but facing competition for centrist support. The October 17 election’s plurality system and large undecided bloc (often 25–35% in recent surveys) amplify the impact of this fragmentation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKen Sim 40%
Pete Fry 29.9%
Kareem Allam 15%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$180,334 Vol.
$180,334 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
30%

Kareem Allam
15%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Rebecca Bligh
<1%

Sean Orr
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Ken Sim 40%
Pete Fry 29.9%
Kareem Allam 15%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$180,334 Vol.
$180,334 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
30%

Kareem Allam
15%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Rebecca Bligh
<1%

Sean Orr
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver leads trader consensus at 40% amid a crowded field, reflecting polling that places him at or near the top among decided voters despite underwater approval ratings. His support consolidates among homeowners on public safety and tax issues, while progressive challengers fragment the remaining vote. Pete Fry of the Green Party sits second at 29.9%, buoyed by stronger favorability and name recognition as a sitting councillor, though unity talks with OneCity, COPE, and other parties remain stalled ahead of the September 11 nomination deadline. Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals follows at 14.5%, drawing from his prior role in Sim’s 2022 campaign but facing competition for centrist support. The October 17 election’s plurality system and large undecided bloc (often 25–35% in recent surveys) amplify the impact of this fragmentation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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