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icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Politics·Global Elections

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Politics·Global Elections

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Seán Kyne 100.0%

Sheila Garrity <1%

Niall Murphy <1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%

Polymarket

$257,367 Vol.

Seán Kyne 100.0%

Sheila Garrity <1%

Niall Murphy <1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%

Polymarket

$257,367 Vol.

Sheila Garrity

$61,491 Vol.

No

Seán Kyne

$27,258 Vol.

Yes

Niall Murphy

$22,154 Vol.

No

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$7,406 Vol.

No

Orla Nugent

$28,241 Vol.

No

Helen Ogbu

$31,487 Vol.

No

Denman Rooke

$15,792 Vol.

No

Noel Thomas

$33,678 Vol.

No

Thomas Welby

$14,197 Vol.

No

Mike Cubbard

$8,051 Vol.

No

Mark Lohan

$7,613 Vol.

No

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$257,367
Date de fin
31 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$257,367
Date de fin
31 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Galway-West By-Election Winner? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Seán Kyne » à 100%, suivi de « Sheila Garrity » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Galway-West By-Election Winner? » a généré $257.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Galway-West By-Election Winner? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Galway-West By-Election Winner? » est « Seán Kyne » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sheila Garrity » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Galway-West By-Election Winner? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.