Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 83.5% implied probability, driven by recent insider hints including a Codex employee signaling an imminent rollout and reports of training completion on March 24, aligning with Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from that date. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.6 and Mythos models has accelerated expectations, as OpenAI redirects GPU resources to maintain frontier AI leadership in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement confirms the date, historical patterns show OpenAI often launches mid-week; delays from safety evaluations or technical fine-tuning remain possible ahead of the April 30 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour23 avril 84%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 avril 4.3%
30 avril 3.6%
28 avril 2.0%
$125,793 Vol.
$125,793 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
17 avril
<1%
18 avril
<1%
19 avril
1%
20 avril
<1%
21 avril
2%
22 avril
1%
23 avril
84%
24 avril
2%
25 avril
<1%
26 avril
<1%
27 avril
1%
28 avril
2%
29 avril
1%
30 avril
4%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 avril
4%
23 avril 84%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 avril 4.3%
30 avril 3.6%
28 avril 2.0%
$125,793 Vol.
$125,793 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
17 avril
$2,936 Vol.
<1%
18 avril
$2,130 Vol.
<1%
19 avril
$1,917 Vol.
1%
20 avril
$2,114 Vol.
<1%
21 avril
$3,078 Vol.
2%
22 avril
$4,789 Vol.
1%
23 avril
$26,216 Vol.
84%
24 avril
$2,277 Vol.
2%
25 avril
$1,552 Vol.
<1%
26 avril
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
27 avril
$2,257 Vol.
1%
28 avril
$2,356 Vol.
2%
29 avril
$2,387 Vol.
1%
30 avril
$4,112 Vol.
4%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 avril
$6,460 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 83.5% implied probability, driven by recent insider hints including a Codex employee signaling an imminent rollout and reports of training completion on March 24, aligning with Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from that date. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.6 and Mythos models has accelerated expectations, as OpenAI redirects GPU resources to maintain frontier AI leadership in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement confirms the date, historical patterns show OpenAI often launches mid-week; delays from safety evaluations or technical fine-tuning remain possible ahead of the April 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Volume
$125,793Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 83.5% implied probability, driven by recent insider hints including a Codex employee signaling an imminent rollout and reports of training completion on March 24, aligning with Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from that date. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.6 and Mythos models has accelerated expectations, as OpenAI redirects GPU resources to maintain frontier AI leadership in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement confirms the date, historical patterns show OpenAI often launches mid-week; delays from safety evaluations or technical fine-tuning remain possible ahead of the April 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$125,793Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 83.5% implied probability, driven by recent insider hints including a Codex employee signaling an imminent rollout and reports of training completion on March 24, aligning with Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from that date. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.6 and Mythos models has accelerated expectations, as OpenAI redirects GPU resources to maintain frontier AI leadership in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement confirms the date, historical patterns show OpenAI often launches mid-week; delays from safety evaluations or technical fine-tuning remain possible ahead of the April 30 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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