Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

avr. 17

avr. 17

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 46%

gemini-3-flash 2.8%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.8%

gpt-5.4-high 2.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 46%

gemini-3-flash 2.8%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.8%

gpt-5.4-high 2.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1 Vol.

46%

gemini-3-flash

$36 Vol.

3%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$5 Vol.

3%

gpt-5.4-high

$0 Vol.

3%

grok-4.20-beta1

$55 Vol.

3%

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

$36 Vol.

2%

claude-opus-4-6

$5,063 Vol.

1%

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$36 Vol.

1%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning

$36 Vol.

1%

gemini-3-pro

$28 Vol.

1%

qwen3.5-max-preview

$36 Vol.

1%

gemini-2.5-pro

$36 Vol.

1%

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$36 Vol.

1%

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k

$36 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (Thinking) variant at 46% implied probability to remain the top AI model on April 17, driven by its unchallenged #1 position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—boasting a 1504 Elo rating from over 16,000 votes—since its February 2026 release. This frontier large language model excels in text and code benchmarks due to enhanced adaptive thinking, long-context reasoning, and agentic capabilities, outpacing rivals like base Claude Opus 4.6 at 1496 Elo. Recent Google Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (April 1 rollout) and OpenAI GPT-5.4 updates have narrowed gaps on other metrics but failed to dethrone it on Arena's crowdsourced blind evaluations. With resolution imminent, traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like OpenAI's rumored SPUD model or Anthropic's Mythos previews, tempering higher odds amid typical pre-launch volatility in AI leaderboards.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$5,443
Date de fin
17 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (Thinking) variant at 46% implied probability to remain the top AI model on April 17, driven by its unchallenged #1 position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—boasting a 1504 Elo rating from over 16,000 votes—since its February 2026 release. This frontier large language model excels in text and code benchmarks due to enhanced adaptive thinking, long-context reasoning, and agentic capabilities, outpacing rivals like base Claude Opus 4.6 at 1496 Elo. Recent Google Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (April 1 rollout) and OpenAI GPT-5.4 updates have narrowed gaps on other metrics but failed to dethrone it on Arena's crowdsourced blind evaluations. With resolution imminent, traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like OpenAI's rumored SPUD model or Anthropic's Mythos previews, tempering higher odds amid typical pre-launch volatility in AI leaderboards.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$5,443
Date de fin
17 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « claude-opus-4-6-thinking » à 46%, suivi de « gemini-3-flash » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On) » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On) », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On) » est « claude-opus-4-6-thinking » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « gemini-3-flash » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.