Tesla's dismal Q1 2026 delivery consensus of around 366,000 vehicles—down sharply year-over-year amid EV pricing pressures and competition—has driven its stock down 20% year-to-date, anchoring Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth at $644 billion as of March 31. Trader consensus reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 30.5% across 600-670 billion bins, signaling expectations of further erosion from late-April earnings (projected April 21-28) offset by SpaceX IPO speculation at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Key swing factors include actual Q1 deliveries this week, earnings guidance on margins and capex, and any private company updates, underscoring the high uncertainty in Musk's Tesla-heavy fortune amid pop culture scrutiny of his empire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour650-660 milliards 54%
640-650 milliards 53%
600-610 Md$ 31%
620-630 Md$ 31%
<600 Md$
30%
600-610 Md$
31%
610-620 milliards
30%
620-630 Md$
31%
630-640 milliards
30%
640-650 milliards
30%
650-660 milliards
31%
660-670 milliards
31%
670 milliards+
29%
650-660 milliards 54%
640-650 milliards 53%
600-610 Md$ 31%
620-630 Md$ 31%
<600 Md$
30%
600-610 Md$
31%
610-620 milliards
30%
620-630 Md$
31%
630-640 milliards
30%
640-650 milliards
30%
650-660 milliards
31%
660-670 milliards
31%
670 milliards+
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's dismal Q1 2026 delivery consensus of around 366,000 vehicles—down sharply year-over-year amid EV pricing pressures and competition—has driven its stock down 20% year-to-date, anchoring Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth at $644 billion as of March 31. Trader consensus reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 30.5% across 600-670 billion bins, signaling expectations of further erosion from late-April earnings (projected April 21-28) offset by SpaceX IPO speculation at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Key swing factors include actual Q1 deliveries this week, earnings guidance on margins and capex, and any private company updates, underscoring the high uncertainty in Musk's Tesla-heavy fortune amid pop culture scrutiny of his empire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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