Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 18 clusters tightly around 14–20°C outcomes due to short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging ensemble models amid spring's volatile patterns. KNMI's current outlook projects a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (50% chance) and moderate winds, favoring mid-teens probabilities like 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (26.5%). The 38% implied odds for 20°C or higher stem from warmer ECMWF and GFS members anticipating high-pressure ridging and reduced cloudiness, building on the Netherlands' first official warm day (20°C+) recorded April 8 at De Bilt. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and northerly flow strength; 00Z/12Z model runs today could refine consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
15°C 31%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
17°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
10°C or below
8%
11°C
5%
12°C
14%
13°C
13%
14°C
22%
15°C
31%
16°C
28%
17°C
14%
18°C
9%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
3%
15°C 31%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
17°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
10°C or below
$210 Vol.
8%
11°C
$17 Vol.
5%
12°C
$11 Vol.
14%
13°C
$18 Vol.
13%
14°C
$9 Vol.
22%
15°C
$12 Vol.
31%
16°C
$24 Vol.
28%
17°C
$12 Vol.
14%
18°C
$22 Vol.
9%
19°C
$12 Vol.
5%
20°C or higher
$59 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 18 clusters tightly around 14–20°C outcomes due to short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging ensemble models amid spring's volatile patterns. KNMI's current outlook projects a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (50% chance) and moderate winds, favoring mid-teens probabilities like 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (26.5%). The 38% implied odds for 20°C or higher stem from warmer ECMWF and GFS members anticipating high-pressure ridging and reduced cloudiness, building on the Netherlands' first official warm day (20°C+) recorded April 8 at De Bilt. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and northerly flow strength; 00Z/12Z model runs today could refine consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$290Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 18 clusters tightly around 14–20°C outcomes due to short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging ensemble models amid spring's volatile patterns. KNMI's current outlook projects a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (50% chance) and moderate winds, favoring mid-teens probabilities like 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (26.5%). The 38% implied odds for 20°C or higher stem from warmer ECMWF and GFS members anticipating high-pressure ridging and reduced cloudiness, building on the Netherlands' first official warm day (20°C+) recorded April 8 at De Bilt. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and northerly flow strength; 00Z/12Z model runs today could refine consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$290Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 18 clusters tightly around 14–20°C outcomes due to short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging ensemble models amid spring's volatile patterns. KNMI's current outlook projects a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (50% chance) and moderate winds, favoring mid-teens probabilities like 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (26.5%). The 38% implied odds for 20°C or higher stem from warmer ECMWF and GFS members anticipating high-pressure ridging and reduced cloudiness, building on the Netherlands' first official warm day (20°C+) recorded April 8 at De Bilt. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and northerly flow strength; 00Z/12Z model runs today could refine consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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