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icon for La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ?

68-69°F 100.0%

57°F ou moins <1%

58-59 °F <1%

60-61°F <1%

Polymarket

$29,485 Vol.

68-69°F 100.0%

57°F ou moins <1%

58-59 °F <1%

60-61°F <1%

Polymarket

$29,485 Vol.

57°F ou moins

$414 Vol.

Non

58-59 °F

$570 Vol.

Non

60-61°F

$1,794 Vol.

Non

62-63 °F

$1,529 Vol.

Non

64-65°F

$2,510 Vol.

Non

66-67°F

$4,575 Vol.

Non

68-69°F

$4,664 Vol.

Oui

70-71°F

$9,636 Vol.

Non

72-73°F

$1,734 Vol.

Non

74-75°F

$1,260 Vol.

Non

76°F ou plus

$800 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influences and moderate onshore winds from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations near seasonal norms of 68–72°F for San Francisco’s July 26 high at the official SFO station. Recent cooling after a brief mid-July heat spike has reinforced this range, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes limiting afternoon warming. Slight differences among the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinge on marine layer depth, exact cloud-clearing timing, and any subtle high-pressure ridge that could briefly enhance offshore flow. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,485
Date de fin
26 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influences and moderate onshore winds from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations near seasonal norms of 68–72°F for San Francisco’s July 26 high at the official SFO station. Recent cooling after a brief mid-July heat spike has reinforced this range, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes limiting afternoon warming. Slight differences among the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinge on marine layer depth, exact cloud-clearing timing, and any subtle high-pressure ridge that could briefly enhance offshore flow. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,485
Date de fin
26 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 68-69°F » à 100%, suivi de « 57°F ou moins » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ? » a généré $29.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ? » est « 68-69°F » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 57°F ou moins » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 26 juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.