Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 8 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 8 juillet ?
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Vol.
$125,174 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 Vol.
$125,174 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
$2,782 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,790 Vol.
Non
20°C
$28,753 Vol.
Non
21°C
$14,182 Vol.
Non
22°C
$26,141 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$26,500 Vol.
Non
24°C
$9,723 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,432 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,572 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,684 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$3,615 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$125,174Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125,174Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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