Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 Vol.
$95,445 Vol.
5 mai 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 Vol.
$95,445 Vol.
5 mai 2026
10°C or below
$692 Vol.
No
11°C
$657 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,015 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,493 Vol.
No
14°C
$21,709 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$14,293 Vol.
No
16°C
$16,627 Vol.
No
17°C
$14,256 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,326 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,715 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$5,661 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$95,445Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,445Date de fin
5 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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