Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 16 avril ?
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Vol.
$102,217 Vol.
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Vol.
$102,217 Vol.
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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