Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 21 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 21 juillet ?
13°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,009 Vol.
$14,009 Vol.
21 juil. 2026
10°C ou moins
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Oui
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
13°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,009 Vol.
$14,009 Vol.
21 juil. 2026
10°C ou moins
$2,386 Vol.
Non
11°C
$982 Vol.
Non
12°C
$1,289 Vol.
Non
13°C
$3,121 Vol.
Oui
14°C
$1,731 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,945 Vol.
Non
16°C
$857 Vol.
Non
17°C
$379 Vol.
Non
18°C
$526 Vol.
Non
19°C
$462 Vol.
Non
20°C ou plus
$332 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,009Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,009Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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