Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
14°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
25%
16°C
20%
17°C
18%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
14°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$513 Vol.
2%
13°C
$541 Vol.
14%
14°C
$180 Vol.
18%
15°C
$168 Vol.
25%
16°C
$641 Vol.
20%
17°C
$376 Vol.
18%
18°C
$486 Vol.
6%
19°C
$224 Vol.
2%
20°C
$187 Vol.
2%
21°C
$138 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$246 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,699Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,699Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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