**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 18 juillet ?
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$81,255 Vol.
$81,255 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$81,255 Vol.
$81,255 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$187 Vol.
Non
26°C
$835 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,732 Vol.
Non
28°C
$11,682 Vol.
Non
29°C
$15,860 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$26,412 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,827 Vol.
Non
32°C
$7,251 Vol.
Non
33°C
$4,223 Vol.
Non
34°C
$1,027 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$220 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$81,255Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,255Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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