Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs indicate Austin's highest temperature on April 17 will likely peak in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, fueling the tight trader split between 88-89°F (37.5% implied probability) and 90-91°F (34.0%). A building upper-level ridge over Texas promotes subsidence and warm air advection via light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, while dry antecedent conditions from recent days enhance daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 88-89°F per some global models like ECMWF—or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 90-91°F as hinted in hotter GFS runs. Monitor evening forecast updates for refined model consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 10%
NOUVEAU
$10,080 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,080 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 10%
NOUVEAU
$10,080 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,080 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
77°F or below
$2,071 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$714 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$829 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$719 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$705 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$235 Vol.
16%
88-89°F
$365 Vol.
39%
90-91°F
$546 Vol.
34%
92-93°F
$1,402 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$806 Vol.
3%
96°F or higher
$1,692 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs indicate Austin's highest temperature on April 17 will likely peak in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, fueling the tight trader split between 88-89°F (37.5% implied probability) and 90-91°F (34.0%). A building upper-level ridge over Texas promotes subsidence and warm air advection via light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, while dry antecedent conditions from recent days enhance daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 88-89°F per some global models like ECMWF—or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 90-91°F as hinted in hotter GFS runs. Monitor evening forecast updates for refined model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,080Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs indicate Austin's highest temperature on April 17 will likely peak in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, fueling the tight trader split between 88-89°F (37.5% implied probability) and 90-91°F (34.0%). A building upper-level ridge over Texas promotes subsidence and warm air advection via light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, while dry antecedent conditions from recent days enhance daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 88-89°F per some global models like ECMWF—or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 90-91°F as hinted in hotter GFS runs. Monitor evening forecast updates for refined model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,080Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs indicate Austin's highest temperature on April 17 will likely peak in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, fueling the tight trader split between 88-89°F (37.5% implied probability) and 90-91°F (34.0%). A building upper-level ridge over Texas promotes subsidence and warm air advection via light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, while dry antecedent conditions from recent days enhance daytime heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 88-89°F per some global models like ECMWF—or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 90-91°F as hinted in hotter GFS runs. Monitor evening forecast updates for refined model consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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