Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Austin le 1er mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Austin le 1er mai ?
73°F ou moins 100.0%
74-75 °F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 Vol.
$31,189 Vol.
1 mai 2026
73°F ou moins
Oui
74-75 °F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Non
92°F ou plus
Non
73°F ou moins 100.0%
74-75 °F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 Vol.
$31,189 Vol.
1 mai 2026
73°F ou moins
$8,216 Vol.
Oui
74-75 °F
$6,315 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$8,941 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$2,123 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$663 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$1,655 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$437 Vol.
Non
86-87°F
$376 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$404 Vol.
Non
90-91°F
$446 Vol.
Non
92°F ou plus
$1,612 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$31,189Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,189Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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