Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 Vol.
$73,981 Vol.
23 mai 2026
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 Vol.
$73,981 Vol.
23 mai 2026
26°C or below
$21,072 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$17,075 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,575 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,760 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,739 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,366 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,818 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,103 Vol.
No
34°C
$883 Vol.
No
35°C
$868 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,723 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Volume
$73,981Date de fin
23 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,981Date de fin
23 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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