Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 19 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 19 juillet ?
37°C 100.0%
33°C ou moins <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 Vol.
$65,358 Vol.
19 juil. 2026
33°C ou moins
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Oui
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C
Non
43°C ou plus
Non
37°C 100.0%
33°C ou moins <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 Vol.
$65,358 Vol.
19 juil. 2026
33°C ou moins
$3,654 Vol.
Non
34°C
$4,266 Vol.
Non
35°C
$4,842 Vol.
Non
36°C
$9,889 Vol.
Non
37°C
$10,980 Vol.
Oui
38°C
$10,389 Vol.
Non
39°C
$7,426 Vol.
Non
40°C
$8,286 Vol.
Non
41°C
$3,984 Vol.
Non
42°C
$1,159 Vol.
Non
43°C ou plus
$485 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$65,358Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,358Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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