Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 Vol.
$57,375 Vol.
14 juin 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 Vol.
$57,375 Vol.
14 juin 2026
31°C or below
$11,609 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,884 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,595 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,609 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,904 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,009 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,077 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,711 Vol.
No
39°C
$652 Vol.
No
40°C
$713 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$611 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$57,375Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,375Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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