Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and southwest winds, is driving strong daytime heating and low humidity ahead of August 24, supporting National Weather Service model consensus for a Dallas high near 106–108°F. This follows multiple consecutive days of 104–108°F readings during a late-summer heat wave, with extreme heat warnings in effect and recent observations matching or approaching the date’s all-time record. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 106–107°F bin because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from these atmospheric conditions, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 104–105°F or 108–109°F ranges. Updated NWS briefings and model runs on August 23 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 août ?
106-107°F 52%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 18%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
52%
108-109°F
18%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 52%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 18%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
99°F or below
$31 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$389 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$204 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$324 Vol.
22%
106-107°F
$761 Vol.
52%
108-109°F
$41 Vol.
18%
110-111°F
$334 Vol.
4%
112-113°F
$125 Vol.
2%
114-115°F
$36 Vol.
1%
116-117°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and southwest winds, is driving strong daytime heating and low humidity ahead of August 24, supporting National Weather Service model consensus for a Dallas high near 106–108°F. This follows multiple consecutive days of 104–108°F readings during a late-summer heat wave, with extreme heat warnings in effect and recent observations matching or approaching the date’s all-time record. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 106–107°F bin because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from these atmospheric conditions, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 104–105°F or 108–109°F ranges. Updated NWS briefings and model runs on August 23 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,371Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and southwest winds, is driving strong daytime heating and low humidity ahead of August 24, supporting National Weather Service model consensus for a Dallas high near 106–108°F. This follows multiple consecutive days of 104–108°F readings during a late-summer heat wave, with extreme heat warnings in effect and recent observations matching or approaching the date’s all-time record. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 106–107°F bin because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from these atmospheric conditions, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 104–105°F or 108–109°F ranges. Updated NWS briefings and model runs on August 23 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,371Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and southwest winds, is driving strong daytime heating and low humidity ahead of August 24, supporting National Weather Service model consensus for a Dallas high near 106–108°F. This follows multiple consecutive days of 104–108°F readings during a late-summer heat wave, with extreme heat warnings in effect and recent observations matching or approaching the date’s all-time record. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on the 106–107°F bin because ensemble guidance shows limited variability from these atmospheric conditions, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could shift outcomes toward the adjacent 104–105°F or 108–109°F ranges. Updated NWS briefings and model runs on August 23 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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