Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles point to a high of around 14-15°C in Istanbul on April 19, driving trader consensus with 33% implied probability for 14°C and 29% for 15°C amid tight clustering that reflects short-range forecast uncertainty. This outlook sits slightly below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, shaped by a lingering cool northerly airflow across the eastern Mediterranean and prospects for patchy clouds or light rain suppressing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on boundary layer winds and cloud cover—cooler scenarios favor 13°C if overcast persists, while clearer skies could push toward 16°C. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs overnight, as resolution nears within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
14°C 33%
15°C 29%
13°C 19%
16°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
19%
14°C
33%
15°C
29%
16°C
14%
17°C
9%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 33%
15°C 29%
13°C 19%
16°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
9°C or below
$342 Vol.
1%
10°C
$290 Vol.
1%
11°C
$546 Vol.
2%
12°C
$336 Vol.
2%
13°C
$104 Vol.
19%
14°C
$97 Vol.
33%
15°C
$200 Vol.
29%
16°C
$237 Vol.
14%
17°C
$94 Vol.
9%
18°C
$128 Vol.
6%
19°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles point to a high of around 14-15°C in Istanbul on April 19, driving trader consensus with 33% implied probability for 14°C and 29% for 15°C amid tight clustering that reflects short-range forecast uncertainty. This outlook sits slightly below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, shaped by a lingering cool northerly airflow across the eastern Mediterranean and prospects for patchy clouds or light rain suppressing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on boundary layer winds and cloud cover—cooler scenarios favor 13°C if overcast persists, while clearer skies could push toward 16°C. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs overnight, as resolution nears within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$2,590Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles point to a high of around 14-15°C in Istanbul on April 19, driving trader consensus with 33% implied probability for 14°C and 29% for 15°C amid tight clustering that reflects short-range forecast uncertainty. This outlook sits slightly below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, shaped by a lingering cool northerly airflow across the eastern Mediterranean and prospects for patchy clouds or light rain suppressing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on boundary layer winds and cloud cover—cooler scenarios favor 13°C if overcast persists, while clearer skies could push toward 16°C. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs overnight, as resolution nears within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,590Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles point to a high of around 14-15°C in Istanbul on April 19, driving trader consensus with 33% implied probability for 14°C and 29% for 15°C amid tight clustering that reflects short-range forecast uncertainty. This outlook sits slightly below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, shaped by a lingering cool northerly airflow across the eastern Mediterranean and prospects for patchy clouds or light rain suppressing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on boundary layer winds and cloud cover—cooler scenarios favor 13°C if overcast persists, while clearer skies could push toward 16°C. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs overnight, as resolution nears within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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