Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 30?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$55,071 Vol.
$55,071 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$55,071 Vol.
$55,071 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
10°C or below
$2,565 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,357 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,104 Vol.
No
13°C
$19,393 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,851 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$6,627 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,877 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,435 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,461 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,183 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,217 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volume
$55,071Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,071Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official NOAA surface observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest air temperature on April 30 reached 14°C during midday hours, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air and extensive cloud cover that capped daytime heating below the seasonal April average of 15-16°C. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast runs, updated within the last 24 hours, showed strong model consensus for this subdued peak, reflecting the dominant low-pressure trough over the Black Sea region. With evening conditions stable and temperatures falling, traders' 100% implied probability on 14°C represents ironclad data-driven sentiment; only an anomalous late-night measurement revision by NOAA could challenge it, though synoptic patterns make this highly improbable. Final daily data release expected soon from monitoring agencies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes