Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports the 99.2% market-implied odds on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 24 maximum, with ensemble forecasts showing daytime highs of 32–35°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent warm advection, high solar insolation, and absence of significant frontal passages or monsoon surges keep temperatures well above the threshold, consistent with climatological August averages near 33°C. Traders price in this stability because short-range guidance through the 24th shows only modest day-to-day variability and low probability of rapid cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or substantial model error revising the high below 26°C, both low-likelihood outcomes given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 24 août ?
26°C or higher 96.5%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96.5%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
16°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$128 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$575 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports the 99.2% market-implied odds on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 24 maximum, with ensemble forecasts showing daytime highs of 32–35°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent warm advection, high solar insolation, and absence of significant frontal passages or monsoon surges keep temperatures well above the threshold, consistent with climatological August averages near 33°C. Traders price in this stability because short-range guidance through the 24th shows only modest day-to-day variability and low probability of rapid cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or substantial model error revising the high below 26°C, both low-likelihood outcomes given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,555Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports the 99.2% market-implied odds on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 24 maximum, with ensemble forecasts showing daytime highs of 32–35°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent warm advection, high solar insolation, and absence of significant frontal passages or monsoon surges keep temperatures well above the threshold, consistent with climatological August averages near 33°C. Traders price in this stability because short-range guidance through the 24th shows only modest day-to-day variability and low probability of rapid cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or substantial model error revising the high below 26°C, both low-likelihood outcomes given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,555Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports the 99.2% market-implied odds on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 24 maximum, with ensemble forecasts showing daytime highs of 32–35°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent warm advection, high solar insolation, and absence of significant frontal passages or monsoon surges keep temperatures well above the threshold, consistent with climatological August averages near 33°C. Traders price in this stability because short-range guidance through the 24th shows only modest day-to-day variability and low probability of rapid cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or substantial model error revising the high below 26°C, both low-likelihood outcomes given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes