Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lagos on April 29?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 29?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 Vol.
$34,810 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 Vol.
$34,810 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
28°C or below
$9,694 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,650 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,208 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,809 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,592 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,030 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$3,038 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,068 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,666 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,611 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,443 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$34,810Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,810Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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