Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 Vol.
$56,768 Vol.
3 mai 2026
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 Vol.
$56,768 Vol.
3 mai 2026
34°C or below
$8,519 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,540 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,464 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,442 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,358 Vol.
No
39°C
$7,874 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,054 Vol.
No
41°C
$2,936 Vol.
No
42°C
$2,065 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,385 Vol.
No
44°C or higher
$2,130 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$56,768Date de fin
3 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,768Date de fin
3 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes