Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 Vol.
$278,106 Vol.
8 mai 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 Vol.
$278,106 Vol.
8 mai 2026
18°C or below
$145,205 Vol.
No
19°C
$30,798 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$24,949 Vol.
No
21°C
$23,060 Vol.
No
22°C
$17,594 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,905 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,789 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,361 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,386 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$278,106Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$278,106Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes