Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 Vol.
$48,190 Vol.
6 mai 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 Vol.
$48,190 Vol.
6 mai 2026
25°C or below
$8,533 Vol.
No
26°C
$930 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,558 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,570 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,785 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,630 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$4,420 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,160 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,762 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,887 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,955 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$48,190Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,190Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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