Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 25 août ?
27°C 41%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
41%
28°C
18%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 41%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$97 Vol.
9%
26°C
$121 Vol.
28%
27°C
$11 Vol.
41%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$11 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$252Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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