Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European and global ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 likely peaking between 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This drives the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Recent days have featured similar summer warmth with highs near 30°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28–30°C but below peak heatwave thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 août ?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
30°C 13%
27°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
10%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
30°C 13%
27°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$85 Vol.
1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
1%
26°C
$30 Vol.
6%
27°C
$106 Vol.
10%
28°C
$155 Vol.
35%
29°C
$140 Vol.
29%
30°C
$16 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European and global ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 likely peaking between 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This drives the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Recent days have featured similar summer warmth with highs near 30°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28–30°C but below peak heatwave thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$627Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European and global ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 likely peaking between 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This drives the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Recent days have featured similar summer warmth with highs near 30°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28–30°C but below peak heatwave thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$627Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European and global ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 likely peaking between 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This drives the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Recent days have featured similar summer warmth with highs near 30°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28–30°C but below peak heatwave thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine these projections and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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