Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing New York City's highest temperature on April 18 clustering in the mid-60s°F, with 64-65°F (29.5% implied probability) edging 66-67°F (29.0%) amid model ensemble spread. This follows a warm spell through April 17, where highs neared 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge, but latest GFS and ECMWF runs project moderation as a weakening front approaches from the northwest, increasing cloud cover and shower chances that cap daytime heating. Differentiating factors include precise timing of cloud onset—earlier overcast favors 64-65°F, while delayed clearing boosts 66-67°F—against the April climatological normal of 62°F. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?
64-65°F 30%
66-67°F 28%
62-63°F 21%
68-69°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
5%
72°F or higher
7%
64-65°F 30%
66-67°F 28%
62-63°F 21%
68-69°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
53°F or below
$631 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$633 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$110 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$492 Vol.
10%
62-63°F
$231 Vol.
21%
64-65°F
$166 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$149 Vol.
28%
68-69°F
$177 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$440 Vol.
5%
72°F or higher
$692 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing New York City's highest temperature on April 18 clustering in the mid-60s°F, with 64-65°F (29.5% implied probability) edging 66-67°F (29.0%) amid model ensemble spread. This follows a warm spell through April 17, where highs neared 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge, but latest GFS and ECMWF runs project moderation as a weakening front approaches from the northwest, increasing cloud cover and shower chances that cap daytime heating. Differentiating factors include precise timing of cloud onset—earlier overcast favors 64-65°F, while delayed clearing boosts 66-67°F—against the April climatological normal of 62°F. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,354Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing New York City's highest temperature on April 18 clustering in the mid-60s°F, with 64-65°F (29.5% implied probability) edging 66-67°F (29.0%) amid model ensemble spread. This follows a warm spell through April 17, where highs neared 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge, but latest GFS and ECMWF runs project moderation as a weakening front approaches from the northwest, increasing cloud cover and shower chances that cap daytime heating. Differentiating factors include precise timing of cloud onset—earlier overcast favors 64-65°F, while delayed clearing boosts 66-67°F—against the April climatological normal of 62°F. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,354Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing New York City's highest temperature on April 18 clustering in the mid-60s°F, with 64-65°F (29.5% implied probability) edging 66-67°F (29.0%) amid model ensemble spread. This follows a warm spell through April 17, where highs neared 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge, but latest GFS and ECMWF runs project moderation as a weakening front approaches from the northwest, increasing cloud cover and shower chances that cap daytime heating. Differentiating factors include precise timing of cloud onset—earlier overcast favors 64-65°F, while delayed clearing boosts 66-67°F—against the April climatological normal of 62°F. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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