Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Vol.
$133,073 Vol.
18 juin 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Vol.
$133,073 Vol.
18 juin 2026
32°C or below
$5,278 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,913 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,001 Vol.
No
35°C
$27,866 Vol.
No
36°C
$22,637 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$24,783 Vol.
No
38°C
$21,197 Vol.
No
39°C
$7,521 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,585 Vol.
No
41°C
$542 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$748 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$133,073Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133,073Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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