Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 Vol.
$80,005 Vol.
8 mai 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 Vol.
$80,005 Vol.
8 mai 2026
53°F or below
$6,380 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,217 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$4,489 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$7,304 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$17,044 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$8,084 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,690 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$6,616 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,870 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$5,228 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$9,084 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$80,005Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,005Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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