Forecast models for Shanghai on June 1 converge on a maximum of 27–28°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon transition and early onset of plum rains that increase cloud cover and scattered showers, suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and rain timing, while early-June climatology typically holds highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under similar transitional patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied certainty around 28°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the outcome, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow modest upward revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 1?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$175,319 Vol.
$175,319 Vol.
1 juin 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$175,319 Vol.
$175,319 Vol.
1 juin 2026
22°C or below
$458 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,541 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,520 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,714 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,745 Vol.
No
27°C
$32,588 Vol.
No
28°C
$25,088 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$26,715 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,741 Vol.
No
31°C
$24,319 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$18,890 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on June 1 converge on a maximum of 27–28°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon transition and early onset of plum rains that increase cloud cover and scattered showers, suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and rain timing, while early-June climatology typically holds highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under similar transitional patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied certainty around 28°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the outcome, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow modest upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$175,319Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on June 1 converge on a maximum of 27–28°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon transition and early onset of plum rains that increase cloud cover and scattered showers, suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and rain timing, while early-June climatology typically holds highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under similar transitional patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied certainty around 28°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the outcome, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow modest upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175,319Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Forecast models for Shanghai on June 1 converge on a maximum of 27–28°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon transition and early onset of plum rains that increase cloud cover and scattered showers, suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and rain timing, while early-June climatology typically holds highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under similar transitional patterns. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied certainty around 28°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the outcome, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow modest upward revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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