Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 Vol.
$141,050 Vol.
8 juin 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 Vol.
$141,050 Vol.
8 juin 2026
24°C or below
$895 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,287 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,901 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,576 Vol.
No
28°C
$41,045 Vol.
No
29°C
$29,757 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$18,116 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,945 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,932 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,822 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$12,777 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$141,050Date de fin
8 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141,050Date de fin
8 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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