Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 25 août ?
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
55%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
29°C or below
$27 Vol.
4%
30°C
$44 Vol.
3%
31°C
$113 Vol.
3%
32°C
$71 Vol.
12%
33°C
$152 Vol.
55%
34°C
$73 Vol.
32%
35°C
$36 Vol.
5%
36°C
$10 Vol.
5%
37°C
$10 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$546Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$546Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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