Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Warsaw’s September 1 maximum near the 21–22 °C threshold, producing the market’s tight 40.5–45.5 % split. A weakening Atlantic trough is expected to maintain partly cloudy skies and light showers through the day, limiting surface heating while preventing full radiative cooling overnight. Slight differences in the timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture among GFS and ECMWF runs create the narrow spread between those two outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows a 22 °C normal, but the current setup favors modest suppression from increased cloudiness. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
22°C 50%
21°C 42%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
17%
20°C
20%
21°C
42%
22°C
50%
23°C
19%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 42%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$20 Vol.
20%
21°C
$57 Vol.
42%
22°C
$119 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Warsaw’s September 1 maximum near the 21–22 °C threshold, producing the market’s tight 40.5–45.5 % split. A weakening Atlantic trough is expected to maintain partly cloudy skies and light showers through the day, limiting surface heating while preventing full radiative cooling overnight. Slight differences in the timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture among GFS and ECMWF runs create the narrow spread between those two outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows a 22 °C normal, but the current setup favors modest suppression from increased cloudiness. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$196Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Warsaw’s September 1 maximum near the 21–22 °C threshold, producing the market’s tight 40.5–45.5 % split. A weakening Atlantic trough is expected to maintain partly cloudy skies and light showers through the day, limiting surface heating while preventing full radiative cooling overnight. Slight differences in the timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture among GFS and ECMWF runs create the narrow spread between those two outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows a 22 °C normal, but the current setup favors modest suppression from increased cloudiness. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$196Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Warsaw’s September 1 maximum near the 21–22 °C threshold, producing the market’s tight 40.5–45.5 % split. A weakening Atlantic trough is expected to maintain partly cloudy skies and light showers through the day, limiting surface heating while preventing full radiative cooling overnight. Slight differences in the timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture among GFS and ECMWF runs create the narrow spread between those two outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows a 22 °C normal, but the current setup favors modest suppression from increased cloudiness. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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