Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by IMGW and international sources indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe, allowing a gradual shift toward cooler polar maritime air while still supporting daytime highs near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 31. Variable cloud cover and light southwest winds may limit peak solar heating, with a low risk of showers (under 15–30% in most runs) that could further cap temperatures. This narrow spread in expected maxima—hovering around historical late-August averages—explains the tight market clustering between 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C or higher, as small differences in timing of any frontal passage or insolation will determine the official daily high. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 31 août ?
24°C 34%
27°C or higher 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C or higher
30%
24°C 34%
27°C or higher 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$14 Vol.
29%
27°C or higher
$6 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by IMGW and international sources indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe, allowing a gradual shift toward cooler polar maritime air while still supporting daytime highs near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 31. Variable cloud cover and light southwest winds may limit peak solar heating, with a low risk of showers (under 15–30% in most runs) that could further cap temperatures. This narrow spread in expected maxima—hovering around historical late-August averages—explains the tight market clustering between 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C or higher, as small differences in timing of any frontal passage or insolation will determine the official daily high. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by IMGW and international sources indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe, allowing a gradual shift toward cooler polar maritime air while still supporting daytime highs near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 31. Variable cloud cover and light southwest winds may limit peak solar heating, with a low risk of showers (under 15–30% in most runs) that could further cap temperatures. This narrow spread in expected maxima—hovering around historical late-August averages—explains the tight market clustering between 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C or higher, as small differences in timing of any frontal passage or insolation will determine the official daily high. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by IMGW and international sources indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe, allowing a gradual shift toward cooler polar maritime air while still supporting daytime highs near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 31. Variable cloud cover and light southwest winds may limit peak solar heating, with a low risk of showers (under 15–30% in most runs) that could further cap temperatures. This narrow spread in expected maxima—hovering around historical late-August averages—explains the tight market clustering between 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C or higher, as small differences in timing of any frontal passage or insolation will determine the official daily high. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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