Official forecasts from MetService, the Met Office, and other agencies indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under mostly fine conditions with northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns closely with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 13–14°C, and current model consensus shows minimal deviation. The market-implied 95% probability on 15°C reflects trader confidence that the official station reading will reach or slightly exceed this threshold given observed trends and forecast margins. Resolution hinges on precise maximums from authoritative monitoring sites; a cooler-than-expected peak below 14°C or an unforecasted spike to 16°C+ from localized warming remain the main variables that could shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 29 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 29 août ?
15°C 97%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$55,097 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$55,097 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
97%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$55,097 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$55,097 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C or below
$900 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$14,958 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,353 Vol.
97%
16°C
$9,132 Vol.
4%
17°C
$7,385 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,438 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService, the Met Office, and other agencies indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under mostly fine conditions with northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns closely with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 13–14°C, and current model consensus shows minimal deviation. The market-implied 95% probability on 15°C reflects trader confidence that the official station reading will reach or slightly exceed this threshold given observed trends and forecast margins. Resolution hinges on precise maximums from authoritative monitoring sites; a cooler-than-expected peak below 14°C or an unforecasted spike to 16°C+ from localized warming remain the main variables that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,097Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService, the Met Office, and other agencies indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under mostly fine conditions with northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns closely with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 13–14°C, and current model consensus shows minimal deviation. The market-implied 95% probability on 15°C reflects trader confidence that the official station reading will reach or slightly exceed this threshold given observed trends and forecast margins. Resolution hinges on precise maximums from authoritative monitoring sites; a cooler-than-expected peak below 14°C or an unforecasted spike to 16°C+ from localized warming remain the main variables that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,097Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService, the Met Office, and other agencies indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under mostly fine conditions with northwesterly winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns closely with late-winter climatology, where average highs near 13–14°C, and current model consensus shows minimal deviation. The market-implied 95% probability on 15°C reflects trader confidence that the official station reading will reach or slightly exceed this threshold given observed trends and forecast margins. Resolution hinges on precise maximums from authoritative monitoring sites; a cooler-than-expected peak below 14°C or an unforecasted spike to 16°C+ from localized warming remain the main variables that could shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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