A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 30 août ?
31°C 23%
30°C 22%
32°C 17%
33°C 13%
28°C ou moins
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 23%
30°C 22%
32°C 17%
33°C 13%
28°C ou moins
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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