Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services highlight a heat wave driven by a persistent mass of hot, dry air over central Brazil, producing clear skies, strong solar heating, and low humidity that supports rapid afternoon warming in São Paulo. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on a daily maximum near 33°C, consistent with observed trends through late August and well above the month’s climatological average of roughly 22°C. This consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific measurement differences that keep the official high at or below 32°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 29 août ?
33°C 99.6%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,692 Vol.
$29,692 Vol.
29 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,692 Vol.
$29,692 Vol.
29 août 2026
28°C or below
$1,728 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$836 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,176 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,051 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,945 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,714 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services highlight a heat wave driven by a persistent mass of hot, dry air over central Brazil, producing clear skies, strong solar heating, and low humidity that supports rapid afternoon warming in São Paulo. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on a daily maximum near 33°C, consistent with observed trends through late August and well above the month’s climatological average of roughly 22°C. This consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific measurement differences that keep the official high at or below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$29,692Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services highlight a heat wave driven by a persistent mass of hot, dry air over central Brazil, producing clear skies, strong solar heating, and low humidity that supports rapid afternoon warming in São Paulo. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on a daily maximum near 33°C, consistent with observed trends through late August and well above the month’s climatological average of roughly 22°C. This consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific measurement differences that keep the official high at or below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,692Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services highlight a heat wave driven by a persistent mass of hot, dry air over central Brazil, producing clear skies, strong solar heating, and low humidity that supports rapid afternoon warming in São Paulo. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on a daily maximum near 33°C, consistent with observed trends through late August and well above the month’s climatological average of roughly 22°C. This consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific measurement differences that keep the official high at or below 32°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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