**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models centers on a daily maximum near 89–91°F for Miami on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Persistent southeasterly flow, high atmospheric moisture (PWAT near climatological normals), and diurnal heating support afternoon convection, with 60–70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official NWS guidance projects highs in the lower 90s with heat indices to 106–108°F, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 90.2°F and recent observed maxima in the low-to-mid 90s. This distribution explains the market’s leading implied probabilities for 90–91°F (43%) and 92–93°F (25.5%), while the 18.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk if storms develop earlier or more extensively than modeled. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 30 août ?
90-91°F 44%
92-93 °F 25%
88-89°F 21%
94-95 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85 °F
2%
86-87 °F
4%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
44%
92-93 °F
25%
94-95 °F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98°F ou plus
1%
90-91°F 44%
92-93 °F 25%
88-89°F 21%
94-95 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
79°F ou moins
$240 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$85 Vol.
1%
84-85 °F
$68 Vol.
2%
86-87 °F
$95 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$203 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$726 Vol.
44%
92-93 °F
$490 Vol.
25%
94-95 °F
$311 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$16 Vol.
3%
98°F ou plus
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models centers on a daily maximum near 89–91°F for Miami on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Persistent southeasterly flow, high atmospheric moisture (PWAT near climatological normals), and diurnal heating support afternoon convection, with 60–70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official NWS guidance projects highs in the lower 90s with heat indices to 106–108°F, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 90.2°F and recent observed maxima in the low-to-mid 90s. This distribution explains the market’s leading implied probabilities for 90–91°F (43%) and 92–93°F (25.5%), while the 18.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk if storms develop earlier or more extensively than modeled. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,337Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models centers on a daily maximum near 89–91°F for Miami on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Persistent southeasterly flow, high atmospheric moisture (PWAT near climatological normals), and diurnal heating support afternoon convection, with 60–70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official NWS guidance projects highs in the lower 90s with heat indices to 106–108°F, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 90.2°F and recent observed maxima in the low-to-mid 90s. This distribution explains the market’s leading implied probabilities for 90–91°F (43%) and 92–93°F (25.5%), while the 18.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk if storms develop earlier or more extensively than modeled. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,337Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models centers on a daily maximum near 89–91°F for Miami on August 30, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Persistent southeasterly flow, high atmospheric moisture (PWAT near climatological normals), and diurnal heating support afternoon convection, with 60–70% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midday that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official NWS guidance projects highs in the lower 90s with heat indices to 106–108°F, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 90.2°F and recent observed maxima in the low-to-mid 90s. This distribution explains the market’s leading implied probabilities for 90–91°F (43%) and 92–93°F (25.5%), while the 18.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk if storms develop earlier or more extensively than modeled. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes