**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 30 août ?
19°C 100%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,880 Vol.
$1,880 Vol.
30 août 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,880 Vol.
$1,880 Vol.
30 août 2026
17°C ou moins
$33 Vol.
Non
18°C
$33 Vol.
Non
19°C
$55 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$296 Vol.
Non
21°C
$271 Vol.
Non
22°C
$87 Vol.
Non
23°C
$360 Vol.
Non
24°C
$291 Vol.
Non
25°C
$62 Vol.
Non
26°C
$72 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$320 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,880Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,880Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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