Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 29 août ?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
29 août 2026
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
29 août 2026
11°C
$422 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,323Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,323Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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