Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 31 août ?
33°C 25%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
25%
34°C
25%
35°C
11%
36°C ou plus
1%
33°C 25%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$71 Vol.
25%
35°C
$1 Vol.
11%
36°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$74Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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