Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Vol.
$80,284 Vol.
2 juin 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 Vol.
$80,284 Vol.
2 juin 2026
10°C or below
$347 Vol.
No
11°C
$534 Vol.
No
12°C
$277 Vol.
No
13°C
$928 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,928 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,565 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,705 Vol.
No
17°C
$11,434 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,901 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,825 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$18,840 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$80,284Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,284Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes