**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 16 septembre ?
29°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 Vol.
$6,884 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 Vol.
$6,884 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$25 Vol.
Non
23°C
$60 Vol.
Non
24°C
$153 Vol.
Non
25°C
$135 Vol.
Non
26°C
$298 Vol.
Non
27°C
$423 Vol.
Non
28°C
$295 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,032 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$447 Vol.
Non
31°C
$691 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$2,326 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,884Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,884Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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