Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Hoppers" grossing $18-19.5 million in its third weekend (39.5% implied probability), driven by the animated family film's robust word-of-mouth and steady 35% drop from its sophomore frame to $25.2 million. Positive critical reception (82% Rotten Tomatoes) and repeat family viewings bolster this outlook, with comps to "The Wild Robot" suggesting a 2.8-3.2x domestic multiplier. Friday estimates hit $6.8 million, aligning with mid-tier holds despite holiday competition from "Moana 2." Lower odds for >$21 million (14.5%) reflect ceiling pressure from Thanksgiving counterprogramming, while sub-$18 million scenarios remain unlikely barring weather disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour« Trémies » 3e box-office du week-end
« Trémies » 3e box-office du week-end
19,5-21m 48%
18-19,5 millions 37%
>21M 22%
16,5-18 M$ 15%
$17,518 Vol.
$17,518 Vol.
<16,5 millions
3%
16,5-18 M$
15%
18-19,5 millions
37%
19,5-21m
37%
>21M
24%
19,5-21m 48%
18-19,5 millions 37%
>21M 22%
16,5-18 M$ 15%
$17,518 Vol.
$17,518 Vol.
<16,5 millions
3%
16,5-18 M$
15%
18-19,5 millions
37%
19,5-21m
37%
>21M
24%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Hoppers" grossing $18-19.5 million in its third weekend (39.5% implied probability), driven by the animated family film's robust word-of-mouth and steady 35% drop from its sophomore frame to $25.2 million. Positive critical reception (82% Rotten Tomatoes) and repeat family viewings bolster this outlook, with comps to "The Wild Robot" suggesting a 2.8-3.2x domestic multiplier. Friday estimates hit $6.8 million, aligning with mid-tier holds despite holiday competition from "Moana 2." Lower odds for >$21 million (14.5%) reflect ceiling pressure from Thanksgiving counterprogramming, while sub-$18 million scenarios remain unlikely barring weather disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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